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Cycle Planner

A rule-based plan for holding crypto through a full cycle: wait for the deep drawdown, buy in planned lots, optionally sell your highest-cost lot on a strong rebound and rebuy lower, take your capital back at 2×, then hold the rest for the big wave. You set every rule; the plan re-reads itself every time the price moves.

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Not a signal, not a bot. The planner never places an order. It reads your own rules against the live price and tells you what they say; you decide, execute at your exchange, then press Mark as executed with the real price, quantity and fee. Drawdown levels and 5×–10× targets (from the bottom) are your assumptions, not forecasts — coins can fall further than any plan and never return to their old high. Your plan is saved in this browser; sign in to keep it on every device.

Flat-vector illustration of one market cycle: a navy price wave falls from a peak into a deep valley and rises to a new peak; equal teal coin stacks labelled BUY LOTS sit only on the falling slope, a coral flag labelled 2X CAPITAL BACK marks the rebound, and a teal flag labelled HOLD stands on the next peak, with calendar pages drifting across to show years passing. — The plan in one picture: wait for the deep drawdown, buy in equal lots on the way down, take your capital back at 2×, then hold the rest.

How the planner thinks

Wait, then DCA in lots. Each coin gets a cycle high and a set of DCA levels measured as a drawdown from it (defaults: large caps −70% to −80%, mid caps −75% to −95%; low caps can fall 90–99% and are not a default). Every executed buy becomes its own lot with its own price, so you always know which coins were bought where.

Recycle high-cost lots (Active mode, optional). Downtrends fall in steps. After you have deployed a chosen share of your capital, a rebound above your highest-cost lot lets you sell exactly that lot — not a random slice of the position — and keep the cash as recycled cash, separate from new capital. If price falls back to your rebuy level, that cash buys more coins than you sold, without adding money. It never sells again below the price of its last recycle and never runs two recycles at once, so the plan stays Buy & Hold, not swing trading.

Recover your capital at 2×, then hold. When the position is worth twice the capital you actually put in, the plan takes that capital back (recycled cash first, then the highest-cost coins). Net capital at risk becomes zero; the rest keeps riding. Take-profit targets are multiples of the real average price of every coin you bought.

A worked example with one coin

Capital set aside for one coin: $3,000, split into three equal lots of $1,000. The coin’s cycle high was $100, and the plan buys at drawdowns of 70%, 80% and 85% from that high.

Lot 1 at $30 buys 33.3 coins · Lot 2 at $20 buys 50 coins · Lot 3 at $15 buys 66.7 coins
Total: 150 coins for $3,000, an average cost of $20

Capital back at 2×. The position is worth twice the money put in ($6,000) when the price reaches $40. The plan sells $3,000 worth — 75 coins — and the remaining 75 coins are held with zero net capital at risk.

The big wave. If the coin later reaches 5× its $15 bottom ($75), the 75 coins left are worth about $5,625; at 10× ($150), about $11,250. Both are on top of the $3,000 already taken back.

The other path. If the coin never recovers to $40, nothing is taken back, and if it keeps falling below $15 the whole $3,000 is exposed. The plan limits how much you put in and when; it does not limit how far a coin can fall. That is why the capital for each coin should be money you can leave untouched for a full cycle.

Course slide titled Long-term investor: buys in the buy zone, sells in the sell zone, very rarely has to buy or sell. Spot: buying and holding. — **The planner is this slide turned into rules.** Buy in the buy zone, sell in the sell zone, and very rarely do anything in between — on spot, with no leverage. — From Cuongboss’s trading course, Part 1, slide 13.

New to the idea? Read Cycle investing: drawdowns, lots and principal recovery, then build your plan here. Related tools: DCA calculator, drawdown recovery, average cost.